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Author Topic: BAMA@Lsu  (Read 14691 times)
bama57
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« on: October 28, 2018, 01:40:59 PM »

Early line seems to be around 14, in the past we've always played them real conservative, do you think that'll be the case this year?       Huh?
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2018, 01:48:34 PM »

Early line seems to be around 14, in the past we've always played them real conservative, do you think that'll be the case this year?       Huh?

We're gonna beat them so bad next week that you won't be able to understand Coach O in the post-game interview. Oh, wait.........
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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2018, 02:45:14 PM »

Early line seems to be around 14, in the past we've always played them real conservative, do you think that'll be the case this year?       Huh?

We're gonna beat them so bad next week that you won't be able to understand Coach O in the post-game interview. Oh, wait.........


I hope you are right 2 but I have a feeling LSU's D will test us and the first half will be closer than we're expecting.  For me, one key will be how the speed of our WRs matches against the LSU DBs.  Can our guys get behind them and get open?  If so, we'll score a few TDs.

RTR
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ricky023
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2018, 02:56:55 PM »

Well what I have seen from the LSU defense they will be tougher than we think. Also, the WR's and RB's are pretty dog gone good also. We will have to be on our "P's" and "Q's" next Sat. RTR!
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2018, 03:20:31 PM »

LSU 33-17 vs. Miami
LSU 22-21 vs. Awbren
LSU 38-21 vs. Louisiana Tech
LSU 45-16 vs. Ole Miss
LSU 19-27 vs. Florida
LSU 36-16 vs. UGA
LSU 19-3   vs. Miss St.

I think being favored by 14 (early) is very conservative.  I think we got this.  We will score early and often.
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2018, 03:44:30 PM »

Let me go further with why I think Bama is going to win fairly easy...

Nationally, LSU is #102 in passing offense, #43 in rushing offense, #60 in scoring offense and #87 in total offense.  Bama is #33 in passing defense, #21 in rushing defense, #10 in scoring defense and #16 in total defense.

At the same time, Bama is #1 in scoring offense against LSU #7 scoring defense, #30 rushing offense against LSU's #32 rushing defense, #5 passing offense against their #38 passing defense, and #2 in total offense against LSU's #22 in total defense.  I know the game isn't played on paper so those stats can be thrown out the window.  Sorry, I'm at work and there ARE NO WINDOWS here.  Bama has for the most part under Coach Saban been very consistent in performing their job come game-time.  They always strive to get better each and every game and historically have most always played 4 quarter football.  Each of the Bama players knows how big this game is.  They always step up to the challenge of "big" games and I think this time will be no different.  
« Last Edit: October 28, 2018, 06:29:26 PM by N.AL-Tider » Logged

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bamaphil
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2018, 04:01:12 PM »

I’ve watched most of LSU’s games this year. They’re not a great team. Miami is awful. Auburn is terrible. Florida is average. Georgia was overrated and untested. LSU has a good defense and a mediocre offense.

If Tua plays the whole game, Bama easily gets 40-60 points. LSU might get to 20. Might. A 14 point spread is too close. Bama rolls.
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SUPERCOACH
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2018, 05:21:23 PM »

If Awbren scored 21 we will score 98 for sure.

A few comments about the stats:
1.  I'm not buying LSU at #87 in total defense.  Must be a mistake there.
2.  I do believe Alabama is in the mid teens for total defense, but keep in mind that probably half of those yards came against the 2's, 3's, and even 4's in some cases.
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ricky023
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2018, 06:28:37 PM »

What about the injuries we have at DB and Tua and his limp? RTR!
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2018, 06:31:32 PM »

If Awbren scored 21 we will score 98 for sure.

A few comments about the stats:
1.  I'm not buying LSU at #87 in total defense.  Must be a mistake there.
2.  I do believe Alabama is in the mid teens for total defense, but keep in mind that probably half of those yards came against the 2's, 3's, and even 4's in some cases.
You are right about the total defense number for LSU. I looked at the numbers and got it confused with their total offense number. I corrected it to #22 in total defense for the Corndogs.  Thanks for pointing that out...Have an ecred... Applause E-Cred
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« Reply #10 on: October 29, 2018, 09:05:34 AM »

LSU always plays Bama tough, and I think this game will be no different. 

14 points is the smallest point spread Bama has seen this year.

And Bama has not faced a defense like LSU.

But I don't think Bama plays LSU conservatively.   Every other game this season Bama has sought to put the game away by halftime.  I don't see why that would change.

 

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ricky023
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« Reply #11 on: October 29, 2018, 09:41:04 AM »

If Bama can go into LSU and put the game away so our players can rest it would be a miracle. This will be intense and injuries are my biggest concerns. RTR!
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Merk
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« Reply #12 on: October 29, 2018, 05:59:52 PM »

If Tua is really healthy (and I think he is), he will pick them apart IF the O line can hold the rush long enough.
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« Reply #13 on: October 29, 2018, 06:01:32 PM »

Once we get a lead they will have to throw the ball.  That is when the NOTs will start rolling in.
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« Reply #14 on: October 29, 2018, 06:25:05 PM »

Once we get a lead they will have to throw the ball.  That is when the NOTs will start rolling in.

This is what I'm hoping for. We cannot afford to let LSU sustain clock draining drives against us like they did against Ga. This is probably the weakest D, or maybe just the most inexperienced D since 2007, so that's a possibilty.

Having said that, I still think we win it if they do, but I can't take that much stress. 
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