Championship Saturday Games

[Catch Prothro]

Championship Weekend started last night with USC beating Stanford by 3 points.  Stanford had their chance in the 4th Quarter, with 4th and goal inside the USC 1 yd line.  Stanford brought in their heavy package on third and goal, but USC held.  So Stanford opted to try again on 4th down.  I think it was a reasonable decision, Stanford had had success with their heavy package in short yardage situations against USC.  And a TD would have given Stanford the lead late in the game.  But on this play USC held, giving USC the ball inside their own 1 yd line.

This was the series that won the game for USC.  They completed a 54 yd pass across the middle, and went on to score a TD on a 99 yd drive.  Stanford lost by the 3 points they would have gotten had they opted for a FG.

[Catch Prothro]

The line for the Georgia/Auburn game has dropped.  Coming out of the gate at a mere 2 1/2 points in favor of Auburn, which seemed low considering how Auburn handled Georgia in their first meeting, Carrion's injury in the Iron Bowl, and his uncertain health for the SECCG, has caused bettors to put money on Georgia, resulting in a pretty much even line for the game.  I'm still not convinced that Georgia's mostly one-dimensional offense can make inroads against Auburn's defense, but a neutral site, with a chance at redemption for Georgia, and Carrion's injury has given Georgia a chance for redemption in this game.  Certainly those who vote with their money and not their mouth are leaning towards Georgia.

[Catch Prothro]

According to 538's statistical analysis, here are Bama's odds of making the playoffs:

TCU and Ohio State win:  Bama 64% chance to make playoffs

TCU and Wisconsin win:  Bama 61% to make playoffs

Oklahoma and Ohio State win:  Bama 47% chance to make playoffs

Oklahoma and Wisconsin win:  Bama 30% chance to make playoffs


(The other two conference championships, Georgia/Auburn and Clemson/Miami will put the winner into the playoffs and the loser out.)

[2Stater]

GO TCU!!!

[2Stater]

Oklahoma opening drive stalls. They kick a FG and lead 3-0.

[2Stater]

TCU's first play from scrimmage is a fumble. Okie get's a scoop and score. 10-0.

[SUPERCOACH]

I can't believe our chances depend on this team.  

[2Stater]

I can't believe our chances depend on this team.  

And now it's 17-0. Kenny Hill doesn't look any better than he did at TAMU. Of course they've hardly had the ball, though.

[SUPERCOACH]

They've got to score a TD on this drive.

[Catch Prothro]

I can't believe our chances depend on this team.  

TCU has a case of the suk.

Ohio State winning is the other possibility.  They're favored, but inconsistent.

[SUPERCOACH]

They've got to score a TD on this drive.

Good.  Now they need to get a stop on defense.

[SUPERCOACH]

They've got to score a TD on this drive.

Good.  Now they need to get a stop on defense.

Good.  Now they need to get another TD on this drive.

[2Stater]

Things are looking up. 17-7 Okie but TCU is driving after Okie missed a FG.

[SUPERCOACH]

They've got to score a TD on this drive.

Good.  Now they need to get a stop on defense.

Good.  Now they need to get another TD on this drive.

Good.  Now time for Faker Hayfield to throw a pick 6.

[2Stater]

TCU getting killed 38-17. Kenny Hill trying to do a zone read on 3rd and 6 when they just stopped him on 4th and a half yard, doing the same thing on their last drive. 

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