Bama has the toughest road to championship.

[crimson13]

Looking at the remaining schedules of the top 6 teams, plus GA, it appears Bama has the toughest road to the playoffs, and to the NC.  I assigned points for difficulty, in reverse order, for playing teams currently ranked by the new committee, giving 25 difficulty points for playing the #1 team and 1 point for playing the #25 team.  No points given for playing teams outside the top 25.  I had to do some assumptions on conference championship games, and pairings in the playoffs.

Bama...........72 points to get to the playoffs, 117 points to win it.
Ole Miss.......63 points to get to the playoffs, 108 points to win it.
AU..............68 points to get to the playoffs, 113 points to win it.
Miss St........58 points to get to the playoffs, 103 points to win it.
UGA...........43 points to get to the playoffs, 88 points to win it.
Oregon.......12 points to get to the playoffs, 56 points to win it.
FSU............2 points to get to the playoffs, 43 points to win it.

Bottom line, I just wasted 15 minutes of my life to come up with useless, highly non-scientific, information.

[2Stater]

Actually, that's pretty darn good. E-cred for your efforts! 

[ricky023]

Looking at the remaining schedules of the top 6 teams, plus GA, it appears Bama has the toughest road to the playoffs, and to the NC.  I assigned points for difficulty, in reverse order, for playing teams currently ranked by the new committee, giving 25 difficulty points for playing the #1 team and 1 point for playing the #25 team.  No points given for playing teams outside the top 25.  I had to do some assumptions on conference championship games, and pairings in the playoffs.

Bama...........72 points to get to the playoffs, 117 points to win it.
Ole Miss.......63 points to get to the playoffs, 108 points to win it.
AU..............57 points to get to the playoffs, 102 points to win it.
Miss St........58 points to get to the playoffs, 103 points to win it.
UGA...........43 points to get to the playoffs, 88 points to win it.
Oregon.......12 points to get to the playoffs, 56 points to win it.
FSU............2 points to get to the playoffs, 43 points to win it.

Bottom line, I just wasted 15 minutes of my life to come up with useless, highly non-scientific, information.

You may have wasted time BUT I think you did well. You at least gave me something to think about at least for 5 minutes and got you an e-cred for the work. 
  for being so close to real it smells real. RTR!

[ALTideUp]

Well done, but another way to construe your metric is that is not so much a difficulty index as an opportunity index. We have an opportunity 2 of the top 4 teams, as well as #16, and whatever UGA is when/if they get to Atlanta. If we win all our season games and fail to get to Atlanta because OM stays at 1 loss. We will have an excellent case to make for a playoff spot.

[crimson13]

Well done, but another way to construe your metric is that is not so much a difficulty index as an opportunity index. We have an opportunity 2 of the top 4 teams, as well as #16, and whatever UGA is when/if they get to Atlanta. If we win all our season games and fail to get to Atlanta because OM stays at 1 loss. We will have an excellent case to make for a playoff spot.

Right, Bama must win out and Ole Miss must lose an SEC game in order for Bama to get to the SECCG.  We would still have a chance to go to the playoffs as a 1 loss team even if Ole Miss wins out and goes to the SECCG instead of us.  That is an easier route, but does not assure us that we will get in the playoffs.

[KoKoPuf]

Not sure I understand your system, but it would seem that AU playing MSU, OM, Bama, and UGA should total more than 57 points.

[2Stater]

Not sure I understand your system, but it would seem that AU playing MSU, OM, Bama, and UGA should total more than 57 points.

Auburn has already played Miss St.

[crimson13]

Not sure I understand your system, but it would seem that AU playing MSU, OM, Bama, and UGA should total more than 57 points.

Right, I left out the SECCG for AU in error.  That would change theirs to 68 & 113.  I changed the original post.  I only counted games remaining on each team's schedule as someone pointed out.

Thanks.

[SUPERCOACH]

Good stuff.  I put it on the home page.

I did not realize that Bama's remaining schedule was tougher than Auburn's.  But I do like all those opportunities to shine.  UGA will be a sacrificial lamb for whoever makes it to Atlanta from the West.

[Chechem]

 

E-cred for the work.  Nice.

I think our team likes the challenge.   

[pmull]

Unless I am missing something the formula has no added difficulty factor for road games. I think the barn has the most difficult finish with Ole Miss, UGA and Bama all on the road.

[crimson13]

You are right, no difference allowed for home vs. road.  As I said, it was a very non-scientific formula.  Just a little bit of busy work over coffee.

[pmull]

You are right, no difference allowed for home vs. road.  As I said, it was a very non-scientific formula.  Just a little bit of busy work over coffee.

I was not complaining. You did some good work here. If nothing else it shows the SEC West is the most difficult place to play.

[bamaphil]

If Bama wins out we're in whether Ole Miss loses another one or not.  If Ole Miss doesn't lose and Bama's only loss is a close game against Ole Miss on the road, a game in which three Bama starters went down with injuries, I don't think there's any way the committee could leave us out.

[crimson13]

Update


Bama...........72 points to get to the playoffs, 117 points to win it.
Ole Miss.......Forget it.
AU..............68 points to get to the playoffs, 113 points to win it.
Miss St........58 points to get to the playoffs, 103 points to win it.
UGA...........Forget it.
Oregon.......12 points to get to the playoffs, 56 points to win it.
FSU............2 points to get to the playoffs, 43 points to win it.

Que up TCU.

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