Week 6 Games

[SUPERCOACH]

These are some hard games to pick, and I keep going back and forth on at least 5 games.   

GA v. USCe?   
LSU v. FLA?
WV v. Texas?
OK v. TT?
Miami v. ND?
Even Wash v. Oregon with 24 pts isn't easy.

Who selected these games anyway??   

I am really regretting my Auburn pick right now.  I don't think Auburn has a good team, I just figured the hogs would keep wallowing in the mud hole again this week.

[Catch Prothro]

These are some hard games to pick, and I keep going back and forth on at least 5 games.   

GA v. USCe?   
LSU v. FLA?
WV v. Texas?
OK v. TT?
Miami v. ND?
Even Wash v. Oregon with 24 pts isn't easy.

Who selected these games anyway??   

I am really regretting my Auburn pick right now.  I don't think Auburn has a good team, I just figured the hogs would keep wallowing in the mud hole again this week.

Yeah, I did the same.  Arky gets discouraged and quits in the second half, but if they get momentum then they might actually play the whole game.  And 9 1/2 points for the Barn?  "What was I thinking?"

[XBAMA]

I thought Arkie was going to pull out of the funk last week
took a chance on them again this week , the 9.5 spot from
*U made it easier  

[Catch Prothro]

After seeing some LSU film on Gameday this morning, I was gonna change my pick from LSU to Florida.  But by the time I got the computer back from my son, logged on and was in the process of editing my games, the clock expired before I could save.

Oh well, Les looked confident this morning.  Maybe LSU will show up.

[WALL-E]

Week 6 has been finalized and the following winners have been awarded e-creds:

Sqwig +27
bama87 +26
Bamaphile +25
BAMADCHAMPSHIPS +24
Tidewest +23
Leroy +22
Jamos +21
2Stater +20
ricky023 +19
BAMAWV +18
BamaFanInACCLand +17
td57 +16
SUPERCOACH +15
XBAMA +14
shady_d4 +13
KoKoPuf +12
Catch Prothro +11
Hannibal Lecter, MD +10
ALTideUp +10
PCTide +10
bama57 +10
cbbama99 +10
Bandit +10
Merk +10
Crimson Legend +10
Chechem +10
pmull +10
Leewillie +10

Click here to view the full results for Week 6

[ricky023]

Congrats to Sqwig and the other leaders. Good job and well deserved. RTR!

[BAMAWV]

Given my less than stellar record it likely doesn't matter what games you choose.

True that! not much competition down here at the bottom since ricky left

Plenty of games left. As more data are accumulated and chance gives way to the authority of a larger sample of observations, we will all end up between an average of 4-6 and 6-4, within the poll's margin of error.

I don't agree with this.  This would be true if the outcome of the picks where purely chance, but it is not.  The betting lines are set so that there is an equal amount of money on both sides.  Therefore the betting lines are set based on perception of what the difference in score will be.  To the degree that you are able to predict the outcomes better than the mass perception, you will win.  In other words, if you can identify where all the lemmings are buying into the hype of a team and therefore skewing the betting lines, you will increase your odds above simple chance.  It is very similar to the stock market actually.

Agreed, the bookies set the lines to get an even number on each side. They make their money on the juice, or the 10% paid on losing bets. Real gamblers will find 1, maybe 2 or 3 games per weekend and that is it. Maybe we should have a contest or add to the pick'em a "Pick your best game" or a "triple value pick". JMHO

I actually am working on something that will add this wrinkle to the contest.  At some point I plan to let each person choose which 10 games they want to pick each week.  This will give each member a chance to survey all the available games and pick on the ones where they believe there is more value.  I will require 10 games to keep the scoring easy, but if you get to choose your own 10 games then you can pick the games where you think the point spread is skewed due to one team being overhyped, etc.  This will bring even more skill into the contest.

One strategy used by professional gamblers is to focus on particular teams. Also the lines are much looser on games where less money is wagered. Vegas (actually many betting services) might be using some guy just getting started to set those lines. A couple of us started studying the IVY League and got on a serious roll with Cornell one season. You start taking the group competition fun out of it if you don't have common games. Weighing your picks-- confidence level- is a good way to add skill to a game of chance. JMHO

We were just playing around with it in Gulf Shores, but as X pointed out, it is easy to get consumed. Our bookie went to prison but I was paid in full at the time--DANG!

[SUPERCOACH]

Congrats to Sqwig and the other leaders. Good job and well deserved. RTR!

Ricky you were in 3rd place last night, just a little behind on the tie breaker, until that last Oregon game finished.  You are in the top 6 on the overall contest right now.

[Catch Prothro]

Congrats to Sqwig and the other leaders. Good job and well deserved. RTR!

Ricky you were in 3rd place last night, just a little behind on the tie breaker, until that last Oregon game finished.  You are in the top 6 on the overall contest right now.

Careful.  Next thing you know, he'll be heading to Vegas.

[ricky023]

Congrats to Sqwig and the other leaders. Good job and well deserved. RTR!

Ricky you were in 3rd place last night, just a little behind on the tie breaker, until that last Oregon game finished.  You are in the top 6 on the overall contest right now.

Careful.  Next thing you know, he'll be heading to Vegas.

Nawwwww, lol, I'd run out of my bottle caps and then I would be mad. RTR!

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