Week 6 Games

[BAMAWV]

That is a good way to go for the bowl games since we pick them all instead of the ones we think are easiest.  Maybe I can get that in place for this year.

I need more robots. 
           

I'd give you a hand but I am too busy not insulting people.

[SUPERCOACH]

That is a good way to go for the bowl games since we pick them all instead of the ones we think are easiest.  Maybe I can get that in place for this year.

I need more robots. 
           

I'd give you a hand but I am too busy not insulting people.

You have shown great restraint. 

[SUPERCOACH]

The games are posted.

[Catch Prothro]

ay caramba!  what have we done?

[ALTideUp]

Thanks Coach. This is a lot of fun.

[BAMAWV]

Thanks Coach. This is a lot of fun.

Not sure you're taking your picks serious enough. HTH

[BAMAWV]

Thanks Coach. This is a lot of fun.

Not sure you're taking your picks serious enough. HTH

Just checked standings, ATU. Maybe I am not taking my picks serious enough. Hope this helps me.

[ALTideUp]

Thanks Coach. This is a lot of fun.

Not sure you're taking your picks serious enough. HTH

Just checked standings, ATU. Maybe I am not taking my picks serious enough. Hope this helps me.

I'm tellin you bro, if 40 chimps pick these games, the distribution of results would be about the same. The proof is that there are about as many 3-7 guys as 7-3 guys. 3-7 may be worse than chance, yet obviously no one is trying to do lousy.

[ALTideUp]

Let's take a look at last years winner for example.  Jamos had a record of 102-70 if you count all the games instead of dropping the 2 lowest weekly scores.  I believe his record was that good because he has better insight into how the games will turn out compared to the mass perception among people who are betting on the games.

Now if you make your picks by just randomly going through there and not paying attention, then yes, you will probably come in somewhere close to 50% given a large enough sample.  However if you look at each game and study the two teams involved, look at how they have fared in the previous weeks, who they have played against, pay attention throughout the season and watch as many teams as you can on TV, then I think all of those things will give you insights that will increase your odds above 50%.

That record amounts to a 5.01-3.5 record for an average week. That's 59%, or 9% over chance. My guess was that the results would range from 4-6 to 6-4. 6-4 is 60%. And Bob's your uncle.

[SUPERCOACH]

Thanks Coach. This is a lot of fun.

Not sure you're taking your picks serious enough. HTH

Just checked standings, ATU. Maybe I am not taking my picks serious enough. Hope this helps me.

[SUPERCOACH]

Let's take a look at last years winner for example.  Jamos had a record of 102-70 if you count all the games instead of dropping the 2 lowest weekly scores.  I believe his record was that good because he has better insight into how the games will turn out compared to the mass perception among people who are betting on the games.

Now if you make your picks by just randomly going through there and not paying attention, then yes, you will probably come in somewhere close to 50% given a large enough sample.  However if you look at each game and study the two teams involved, look at how they have fared in the previous weeks, who they have played against, pay attention throughout the season and watch as many teams as you can on TV, then I think all of those things will give you insights that will increase your odds above 50%.

That record amounts to a 5.01-3.5 record for an average week. That's 59%, or 9% over chance. My guess was that the results would range from 4-6 to 6-4. 6-4 is 60%. And Bob's your uncle.

But... but... 102 is so much more than 6.   

[BAMAWV]

Let's take a look at last years winner for example.  Jamos had a record of 102-70 if you count all the games instead of dropping the 2 lowest weekly scores.  I believe his record was that good because he has better insight into how the games will turn out compared to the mass perception among people who are betting on the games.

Now if you make your picks by just randomly going through there and not paying attention, then yes, you will probably come in somewhere close to 50% given a large enough sample.  However if you look at each game and study the two teams involved, look at how they have fared in the previous weeks, who they have played against, pay attention throughout the season and watch as many teams as you can on TV, then I think all of those things will give you insights that will increase your odds above 50%.

That record amounts to a 5.01-3.5 record for an average week. That's 59%, or 9% over chance. My guess was that the results would range from 4-6 to 6-4. 6-4 is 60%. And Bob's your uncle.

But... but... 102 is so much more than 6.   

Continuing to use the Jamos example. He is .500 this season (less counting the throw aways). Did JAMOS forget all he knew last season? I think not!

[Catch Prothro]

With a large enough sample, the results should be a Bell Curve.

[ALTideUp]

We are SUCH GEEKS! But I love this forum.

[SUPERCOACH]

This is all true, but I still say that if you pay attention you can find yourself on the right side of that Bell Curve.  We will see where Jamos is at the end of the year, along with the other top guys from last year.

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